SteadyTapeQuantitative Market Research

Weekly Win Streak

No notable up-streak (current: 1 wk)

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Consecutive positive SPY weekly closes; forward returns + extend-odds by streak length.

Current Streak
1 wk
Threshold
5+ weeks
Extend Rate
47%
odds of +1 more week
Historical Events
46

When to run this study

Run weekly. Long SPY weekly up-streaks (5+, rare at 9+) seldom extend another week, but the 1-4 week forward return has historically stayed positive — strength begets strength. Watch for streak exhaustion.

Historical results

5+ Week Winning Streaks

DateStreak (wks)SPY1W2W1M3M
2026-05-299752.67-2.50-1.95-3.391.96
2024-10-186571.40-0.95-2.320.202.57
2024-02-095485.32-0.341.332.104.24
2023-12-299460.25-1.550.292.5510.39
2023-06-165422.33-1.420.872.231.25
2021-11-055438.22-0.270.08-3.23-3.90
2020-08-285322.05-2.28-4.71-5.864.15
2019-12-275293.56-0.140.881.83-21.05
2019-11-156282.11-0.270.811.778.81
2019-03-015250.24-2.130.761.18-1.40
2018-08-035250.47-0.160.512.37-3.70
2017-12-225234.27-0.242.214.82-3.15
2017-11-038225.18-0.14-0.232.337.12
2017-08-045214.50-1.33-1.900.174.98
2017-03-036204.81-0.31-0.15-0.692.86

Showing 15 of 46 rows — see the live version for all.