3% Weeks (Whaley)
Whaley 3-week thrust triggered 28 weeks ago. Median 6 months forward: +12.4%. In bullish normal trend regime: 100% win rate over 2 events. Whaley 3-week thrust — strong forward edge historically.
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Whaley 3-week thrust: 3 consecutive +3% weekly SPY closes.
- 2 signals since 1980-01-01.
- Whaley 3-week thrust triggered 28 weeks ago. Median 6 months forward: +12.4%. In bullish normal trend regime: 100% win rate over 2 events. Whaley 3-week thrust — strong forward edge historically.
Currently Firing
No
Last 3 Wk Rets
-1.97% / -0.43% / +1.25%
Weeks Since Last Trigger
28
Total Triggers
2
As of
2026-10-30
When to run this study
Run weekly. Three consecutive +3% weekly SPY closes is the Whaley breadth-thrust variant — historically a strong forward-edge signal at 3-12 month horizons.
Historical results
3-Week +3.0% Triggers (2)
| Date | SPY | 3M | 6M | 1Y |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-17 | 706.56 | 4.94 | 8.02 | |
| 2020-06-05 | 292.07 | 7.75 | 16.79 | 34.46 |