SPY Weekly EMA
SPY above 50W EMA (+6.89%)
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SPY weekly closes vs 50-week EMA - depth-bucketed forward returns when below.
- 44 signals since 1993-01-01.
- SPY above 50W EMA (+6.89%)
Status
Above EMA
Streak
0W
Price
$769.49
EMA
$719.86
% from EMA
+6.89%
As of
2026-10-30
When to run this study
Run when SPY breaks below its 50-week EMA or has been below it for several weeks. Helps frame recovery timing and depth expectations — most useful for setting re-entry targets during intermediate-term corrections.
Historical results
Regime Analysis
| Regime | Weeks | Avg/Wk | Ann. | Win% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 50W EMA | 1416 | 0.45 | 23.60 | 61.50 |
| Below 50W EMA | 345 | -0.71 | -37.10 | 38.60 |