SPY Weekly EMA
SPY above 50W EMA (+7.42%)
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SPY weekly closes vs 50-week EMA - depth-bucketed forward returns when below.
- 33 signals since 1993-01-01.
- SPY above 50W EMA (+7.42%)
Status
Above EMA
Streak
0W
Price
$760.88
EMA
$708.30
% from EMA
+7.42%
As of
2026-09-18
When to run this study
Run when SPY breaks below its 50-week EMA or has been below it for several weeks. Helps frame recovery timing and depth expectations — most useful for setting re-entry targets during intermediate-term corrections.
Historical results
Regime Analysis
| Regime | Weeks | Avg/Wk | Ann. | Win% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 50W EMA | 932 | 0.45 | 23.30 | 61.90 |
| Below 50W EMA | 200 | -0.79 | -41.10 | 35.50 |