Monthly ATH-Count Barometer
July 2026: 0 new ATHs (below 6 threshold)
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New all-time-high count in a given calendar month (default current). When the S&P 500 makes many new highs in a month, the rest of the year tends to be strongly positive.
- 17 signals since 1950-01-01.
- July 2026: 0 new ATHs (below 6 threshold)
July ATHs (2026)
0
need 6
Qualified Years
17
since 1950
RoY Median
+8.0%
82% win
July = Peak
1/27
yrs month was yearly peak (after an ATH)
When to run this study
Run at month-end. Counts the S&P 500 new all-time highs made in the target month (default current month); when >= threshold, the rest of the year has historically been strongly positive. Generalizes the Finom "6+ ATHs in May" quant to any month.
Historical results
Years with 6+ ATHs in July (17)
| Year | July ATHs | Rest-of-Year % | July=Yearly Peak? |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 10 | 7.98 | — |
| 2024 | 7 | 6.51 | — |
| 2021 | 7 | 8.44 | — |
| 2019 | 8 | 8.40 | — |
| 2016 | 7 | 3 | — |
| 2013 | 6 | 9.65 | — |
| 1999 | 6 | 10.58 | — |
| 1998 | 6 | 9.69 | — |
| 1997 | 9 | 1.69 | — |
| 1995 | 7 | 9.58 | — |
| 1987 | 6 | -22.46 | — |
| 1985 | 6 | 10.66 | — |
| 1964 | 8 | 1.89 | — |
| 1959 | 7 | -1.02 | — |
| 1956 | 6 | -5.51 | — |
Showing 15 of 17 rows — see the live version for all.