SteadyTapeQuantitative Market Research

Fund Flows

Week to Oct 21: long-term +12.3bn, equity +13.9bn, bond -0.2bn, commodity +0.7bn.

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Weekly ICI net flows into long-term mutual funds and ETFs — equity (US vs non-US), hybrid, bond and commodity — tracked against what the index did. Covers 98%+ of industry assets, so it is the closest public read on where household and advisor money is actually moving. The study also shows what the flows are worth as a forecast, which is close to nothing: they run +0.50 correlated with the SAME month and -0.06 (US equity) with the next. A positioning gauge and a recap input, not a trade trigger.

Long-term flows
+12.3bn
week ended Oct 21
Equity
+13.9bn
4wk avg -119.8bn
Bond
-0.2bn
Commodity
+0.7bn
Same-month corr
+0.50
total flow vs S&P that month
Next-month corr
-0.13
equity flow vs S&P next month

When to run this study

Run after the ICI release — Wednesday around midday ET, covering the week ended the prior Wednesday. Best used as the positioning paragraph in a weekly recap: who added, who sold, and whether the week broke the recent run. It is a coincident gauge, not a leading one, so do not read a big inflow or outflow print as a forecast of next week.

Historical results

Net flows, week ended 2026-10-21 ($bn)

CategoryThis weekPrior 4wk avgvs 4wk avgLast 13wk total
Total long-term12.32-110.32122.64-330.60
Equity13.89-119.81133.71-478.80
US equity7.09-124.76131.85-519.90
Non-US equity6.804.951.8541.10
Hybrid-2.09-1.65-0.43-18.30
Bond-0.1710.90-11.07150.70
Commodity0.690.250.4415.70