SteadyTapeQuantitative Market Research

Crypto Relative Value

Composite Z: -0.42σ (32th percentile)

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BTC/SPX, ETH/BTC, BTC/Gold rolling z-scores - relative-value composite signal.

BTC/SPX Z
-0.61σ
ETH/BTC Z
-0.59σ
BTC/Gold Z
-0.06σ
Composite Z
-0.42σ
BTC Price
$80,334
ETH Price
$2,313

When to run this study

Run when considering adding or sizing up crypto exposure. Identifies when BTC is historically cheap relative to equities (BTC/SPX), gold (BTC/Gold), and when ETH is cheap within crypto (ETH/BTC) — the composite of all three flags the highest-conviction dip-buying windows.

Historical results

Current Z-Scores

RatioZ-ScorePercentile
BTC/SPX-0.6128.90
ETH/BTC-0.5945.30
BTC/Gold-0.0640.20
Composite-0.4232.30