SteadyTapeQuantitative Market Research

Bollinger Breach

SPY at 759.97, no recent BB breach

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SPY closes below lower 20D/2σ Bollinger Band — mean-reversion setup.

SPY Close
769.49
Lower BB
760.07
Currently Breached
No
Days Since Last Breach
31
Total Breaches
187
As of
2026-10-29

When to run this study

Run when SPY closes below the lower 20D/2-sigma Bollinger Band. Historically a high-conviction 1M mean-reversion setup, especially in uptrending tape.

Historical results

Lower BB Breaches (187)

DateSPYLower BBMA Regime1W2W1M3M
2026-09-16752.18753.14Above 200D MA2.081.392.61
2026-07-29727.65731.18Above 200D MA5.535.905.71
2026-06-10721.77723.17Above 200D MA2.141.483.544.74
2026-03-27630.89634.34Below 200D MA3.928.2012.2417.16
2026-03-20645.30647.79Below 200D MA-2.231.608.5615.07
2026-03-13657.16660.83Above 200D MA-1.80-45.1412.30
2026-03-06667.17670.03Above 200D MA-1.50-3.28-1.699.99
2026-02-05672.37674.54Above 200D MA0.541.740.108.26
2026-01-20672.33673.70Above 200D MA2.641.761.024.19
2025-11-18653.03654.34Above 200D MA2.263.612.484.76
2025-10-10646.05646.12Above 200D MA1.743.714.356.77
2025-04-03527.94535.03Below 200D MA-2.26-1.92515.99
2025-03-06561.68562.65Above 200D MA-3.72-1.26-11.513.86
2025-02-27573.78577.79Above 200D MA-2.11-5.75-4.741.16
2024-12-18573.06576.16Above 200D MA2.911.313.79-1.46

Showing 15 of 187 rows — see the live version for all.