Apr+Jul Both Green Barometer
April+July Both Green Barometer (provisional): April +9.68%. Median RoY forward: +9.2%.
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When both April and July close positive, rest-of-year from end of July has been bullish 82% of the time historically (n=22, WR holdout 80%). Late-summer floor anchor before the seasonally-weak Aug/Sep stretch.
- 33 signals since 1993-01-29.
- April+July Both Green Barometer (provisional): April +9.68%. Median RoY forward: +9.2%.
April
+9.68%
July
--
Both Green
Pending
When to run this study
Run after April closes and again after July closes. The signal finalizes on the last trading day of July when both April and July are positive -- a late-summer floor anchor before the seasonally-weak Aug/Sep stretch.
Historical results
April+July Both-Green Years -- Rest-of-Year SPY Returns
| Year | April | July | RoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 1.21 | 3.15 | 4.62 |
| 2021 | 4.17 | 1.88 | 9.04 |
| 2020 | 18.01 | 5.15 | 15.45 |
| 2019 | 2.87 | 0.60 | 9.25 |
| 2018 | 2.73 | 3.48 | -10.24 |
| 2017 | 1.17 | 1.88 | 9.23 |
| 2015 | 1.34 | 1.45 | -2.07 |
| 2013 | 2.33 | 4.56 | 10.60 |
| 2010 | 0.86 | 7.31 | 15.25 |
| 2009 | 7.85 | 7.02 | 13.93 |
| 2006 | 1.34 | 0.04 | 11.88 |
| 2003 | 6.82 | 0.87 | 12.92 |
| 1997 | 5.58 | 6.68 | 2.62 |
| 1995 | 2.71 | 2.83 | 10.75 |
| 1994 | 2.70 | 3.02 | 0.65 |