MA Support & Resistance Zones
Across the universe, tests of the 50-day held 66% of the time
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Every universe name against the 50-, 200- and 325-day moving averages the folio treats as buy zones: trend state (uptrend, off a bottom, downtrend), the nearest support below and resistance above, whether the name is in or approaching a buy zone now, and that name's own record at that level (how often the test held, 1-month win rate against the name's base rate). Conviction units 1 / 2 / 3 for the 50 / 200 / 325 feed the 1%-for-1%+ folio's lot sizing. Includes off-bottom names with their overhead levels marked.
- 43 names in a buy zone now (20 at the 50-day, 12 at the 200-day, 11 at the 325-day), 69 approaching.
- Across the universe, tests of the 50-day held 66% of the time
- Support below the price is where the folio buys; an MA above the price is resistance, not a buy zone.
In a buy zone
43
within 1.5% above support
At the 50-day
20
1 unit
At the 200-day
12
2 units
At the 325-day
11
3 units (banana line)
Approaching
69
within 4%
Off a bottom
25
over a rising 50, under the 200/325
Current rankings
What buying at each level has done, all names pooled
| Level | Units | Tests | Names | Held % | 1M win % | Base % | Edge (pts) | 1M median | In zone now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50-day | 1 | 36675 | 600 | 66 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 1.20 | 20 |
| 200-day | 2 | 16611 | 594 | 67 | 57 | 57 | -1 | 1.20 | 12 |
| 325-day | 3 | 12493 | 596 | 67 | 57 | 57 | 0 | 1.40 | 11 |